Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2594 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 2594 · MCO → AUS

departs 6:40 AM ET · arrives 8:15 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ Other factors

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.29 in

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.85 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2594 · MCO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?