Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 259
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 259 · AUS → BNA
departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 23%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
74%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +26 pts in 24h
+26 pts
74%
Yes 74%
No 26%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
4pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.34 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.