Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2669 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 2669 · SNA → SMF

departs 6:45 AM PT · arrives 8:25 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SMF?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SNA that day

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ Fridays in October are usually busier than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SNA are usually not late

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2669 · SNA → SMF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SMF?