Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2678
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 2678 · MCO → PBI
departs 8:50 PM ET · arrives 10:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 64%
Mon 10/5 41%
Fri 10/9 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
−24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −24 pts in 24h
−24 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.