Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2690
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2690 · SAT → MCO
departs 5:45 PM CT · arrives 9:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
62%
Arrive 1h+ late
49%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
62%
Yes 62%
No 38%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +31 pts in 24h
+31 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
30%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.48 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.