Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2693 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 2693 · MCO → ROC

departs 4:10 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROC?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ ROC usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.17 in

ROC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2693 · MCO → ROC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROC?