Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2693
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2693 · ROC → MDW
departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 8:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ROC that day
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ROC (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.33 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.