Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2717
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2717 · TUL → MDW
departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at TUL that day
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.