Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2737 LANDED 1:20 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2737 · LAS → BUF

took off 6:40 PM PT · landed 1:20 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.36 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2737 · LAS → BUF

Odds over time