Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2744
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2744 · MDW → BWI
departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 2:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from MDW are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.