Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2745
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2745 · MDW → BWI
departs 7:00 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 20%
Thu 10/8 39%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from MDW are often late
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.