Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2783 · MDW → HOU
departs 10:10 AM CT · arrives 12:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.