Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2807 LANDED 1:44 AM AT, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2807 · MCO → SJU

took off 11:20 PM ET · landed 1:44 AM AT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2807 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time