Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 2811 · DEN → ANC
departs 5:45 PM MT · arrives 9:15 PM AKT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 31%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 50% of the time recently
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ANC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.