Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2834 LANDED 1:52 AM CT, ~2 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

WN 2834 · MDW → AUS

took off 11:36 PM CT · landed 1:52 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

AUS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2834 · MDW → AUS

Odds over time