Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2951 · SLC → OAK
departs 1:00 PM MT · arrives 1:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Other factors
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at OAK that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.