Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2961
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2961 · MDW → DAL
departs 6:25 PM CT · arrives 8:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.74 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.