Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 297
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 297 · RDU → BWI
departs 1:20 PM ET · arrives 2:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from RDU are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.