Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2998 LANDED 10:00 PM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 2998 · MCI → MDW

took off 9:03 PM CT · landed 10:00 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

MDW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2998 · MCI → MDW

Odds over time