Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3012
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3012 · DAL → AMA
departs 8:20 AM CT · arrives 9:35 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AMA that day
↓
Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.90 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.