Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3070
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 3070 · OAK → PHX
departs 8:40 PM PT · arrives 10:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 58%
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
61%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
61%
Yes 61%
No 39%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at OAK that day
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.