Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3076
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3076 · OAK → SAN
departs 2:15 PM PT · arrives 3:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
SAN is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at OAK that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
OAK (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.