Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3140
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 3140 · BUR → BNA
departs 1:45 PM PT · arrives 7:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.