Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3238 LANDED 10:29 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 3238 · MDW → MKE

took off 10:09 PM CT · landed 10:29 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 10pm departures from MDW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at MDW that day

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.12 in

MKE (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3238 · MDW → MKE

Odds over time