Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3309
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3309 · PHX → OKC
departs 11:00 AM MT · arrives 3:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at OKC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OKC (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.