WN 335 · AUS → RDU

took off 9:50 PM CT · landed 1:11 AM ET (scheduled 9:19 PM CT → 1:14 AM ET)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

RDU (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 335 · AUS → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?