Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3402 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 3402 · PVD → BWI

departs 9:25 AM ET · arrives 10:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PVD is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from PVD are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3402 · PVD → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?