Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3439 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 3439 · PIT → MCO

departs 4:45 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±5 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PIT that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.39 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3439 · PIT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?