Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 3467 · RSW → IND
departs 4:20 PM ET · arrives 6:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 16%
Mon 10/5 23%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IND (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.