Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 349 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 349 · AUS → MCO

departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 1:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.52 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 349 · AUS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?