Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 353 · AUS → MCO
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 9:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 25%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.34 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.