Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3563
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3563 · SAT → DAL
departs 9:45 AM CT · arrives 10:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
9am departures from SAT are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.76 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.