Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3575 LANDED 11:11 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 3575 · AUS → HRL

took off 10:29 PM CT · landed 11:11 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.38 in

HRL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip2.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3575 · AUS → HRL

Odds over time