Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 3602 · SBA → LAS
departs 6:00 PM PT · arrives 7:15 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.