Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3607 LANDED 9:46 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 3607 · RIC → BWI

took off 9:19 PM ET · landed 9:46 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BWI that day

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

↓ BWI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RIC (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3607 · RIC → BWI

Odds over time