Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3635 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

WN 3635 · SFO → BUR

departs 10:20 AM PT · arrives 11:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 43% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↓ Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3635 · SFO → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?