Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 373
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 373 · LAS → SBA
departs 10:10 PM PT · arrives 11:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SBA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SBA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SBA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 1.5 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.