Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 378
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 378 · AUS → PHX
departs 9:35 PM CT · arrives 10:00 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 36%
Mon 10/5 25%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
55%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
55%
Leave 15+ late
71%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.34 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.