Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4093 · MDW → CMH
departs 7:45 AM CT · arrives 10:05 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 4%
Wed 10/7 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CMH that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
CMH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.23 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.