Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4188
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
WN 4188 · MCI → DAL
departs 6:10 AM CT · arrives 7:45 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 6%
Mon 10/5 4%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,271 ft forecast at MCI that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,280 ft Visibility 4.5 mi Precip 0.37 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.87 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.