tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4230 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

WN 4230 · FLL → HOU

departs 5:35 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
46% chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HOU?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.