Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4304
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4304 · DEN → MYR
departs 3:10 PM MT · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day
↓
MYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MYR (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.