Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4319
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4319 · AUS → BNA
departs 8:25 AM CT · arrives 10:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.42 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,567 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.