Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4333
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4333 · AMA → DAL
departs 3:10 PM CT · arrives 4:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
65%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
65%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Leave AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AMA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
Weather at each end
AMA (origin)
Gusts 29 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.07 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2.5 mi
Precip 0.75 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.