Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4341
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4341 · MCI → STL
departs 6:10 PM CT · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
STL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 4.42857 mi Precip 0.34 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.