Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4382
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4382 · BWI → PWM
departs 10:35 PM ET · arrives 12:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 17%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 21%
Thu 10/8 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
41%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Arrive at PWM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to PWM?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PWM (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.