Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4396 · DAL → ELP
departs 1:05 PM CT · arrives 1:45 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±2 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ELP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ELP?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.34 in
ELP (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.