Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4426 LANDED 8:11 PM MT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

WN 4426 · ICT → DEN

took off 8:07 PM CT · landed 8:11 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ICT (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4426 · ICT → DEN

Odds over time