Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4445
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 4445 · DAL → TUL
departs 8:25 AM CT · arrives 9:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 6%
Fri 10/9 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into TUL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.24 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.