Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 446
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
WN 446 · BNA → ATL
departs 6:35 PM CT · arrives 8:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 19%
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 58% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
6pm departures from BNA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.